YASHO
Yasho Industries Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
YASHO
FY26 → FY28 · 2 years of guidance · ~1.7 years from today₹3,859 today
BEAR
₹692
-82%-64% a yr
19.9% a year · 27x exit
BASE
₹1,416
-63%-45% a yr
34.4% a year · 44x exit
BULL
₹2,347
-39%-26% a yr
46.8% a year · 61.1x exit
Where the market has priced it
15x216x today — outside the range76x
- this company has too little filed history for a multiple band of its own, so the exit multiple is the median of 12 Food: Specialty/Candy peers
- at 217x its FY26 earnings the stock already trades above the top of its own ten-year range (61x)
- the range is unusually wide — read it as the span of management's own claim, not as a forecast
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹17.82 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 34.4% a year, said on the call of 22-May-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: absolute ₹ revenue target — medium confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 27x / 44x / 61.13x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 12 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 44x across 12 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)2 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from a third-party research digest · not our own extraction
implied earnings growth 34%
Revenue target of INR1,500 crores by FY '28 with 75% utilization in FY '27 (up from previous 60% in FY '26); EBITDA margin guidance upgraded to 18-19% or higher (previously 17-19%); capex of INR125 crores for FY '27.
Call 22-May-2026 · bridge confidence medium · transcript PDF