WONDERLA
Wonderla Holidays Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
WONDERLA
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹478 today
BEAR
₹332
-31%
9.9% a year · 23.4x exit
BASE
₹565
+18%
17.1% a year · 37.4x exit
BULL
₹671
+40%
23.2% a year · 42.2x exit
Where the market has priced it
12x37x today65x
- the guided figure reached earnings through a low-confidence bridge
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹12.89 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 17.1% a year, said on the call of 15-May-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: unlabelled growth figure, read as revenue — low confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 23.42x / 37.41x / 42.23x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 8 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 28.9x across 6 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
generic growth 20%
Dheeran Choudhary: I said we are hoping to see at least about -- our aim is to get to about 20% growth this year because there is a headroom of about 1 lakh, 1.2 lakhs footfall to get to it at a mature stage.
Call 15-May-2026 · bridge confidence low · transcript PDF