VIVIANA
Viviana Power Tech Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
VIVIANA
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹719 today
BEAR
₹763
+6%
13.5% a year · 13.6x exit
BASE
₹1,175
+64%
23.4% a year · 19.2x exit
BULL
₹1,897
+164%
31.8% a year · 29.1x exit
Where the market has priced it
14x14x today30x
management named no year; shown one year out
- multiple band rests on only 4 filed years
- the last 3 years priced this company 40% above its ten-year median (27x vs 19x) — the exit multiple here is the ten-year one, so a sustained re-rating would not be captured
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹49.56 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 23.4% a year, said on the call of 03-Jul-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | stated FY27 revenue target of Rs 850.0 crore, read as flat-margin earnings growth — medium confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 13.57x / 19.22x / 29.05x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 4 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 15.95x across 36 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
implied earnings growth 23%
Call 03-Jul-2026 · bridge confidence medium · transcript PDF