VIAZ
Viaz Tyres Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
VIAZ
FY26 → FY31 · 5 years of guidance · ~4.7 years from today₹64 today
BEAR
₹124
+94%+15% a yr
13% a year · 17.1x exit
BASE
₹210
+228%+29% a yr
22.5% a year · 19.4x exit
BULL
₹488
+662%+55% a yr
30.6% a year · 32.7x exit
Where the market has priced it
14x16x today45x
management guided to FY33; shown to FY31, the furthest this model projects
- the guided figure reached earnings through a low-confidence bridge
- this company has too little filed history for a multiple band of its own, so the exit multiple is the median of 5 Automotive Aftermarket peers
- at 16x its FY26 earnings the stock trades below the bottom of its own ten-year range (17x)
- the range is unusually wide — read it as the span of management's own claim, not as a forecast
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 TTM EPS ₹3.93 (universe (TradingView, diluted TTM)) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 22.5% a year, said on the call of 23-May-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: unlabelled growth figure, read as revenue — low confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 17.13x / 19.35x / 32.68x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 5 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 19.35x across 5 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)5 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
generic growth 20–25%margin 6–7%
Rajeshh Patel: This year we are expecting 20-25% growth is expected in revenue and profit margin of 6-7%.
Call 23-May-2026 · bridge confidence low · transcript PDF