TBI
TBI Corn Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
TBI
FY26 → FY28 · 2 years of guidance · ~1.7 years from today₹62 today
BEAR
₹73
+17%+10% a yr
20.2% a year · 11.3x exit
BASE
₹172
+176%+84% a yr
35% a year · 21.1x exit
BULL
₹355
+471%+186% a yr
47.6% a year · 36.5x exit
Where the market has priced it
8x14x today96x
- the guided figure reached earnings through a low-confidence bridge
- this company has too little filed history for a multiple band of its own, so the exit multiple is the median of 22 Agricultural Commodities/Milling peers
- the range is unusually wide — read it as the span of management's own claim, not as a forecast
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹4.47 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 35% a year, said on the call of 08-Jun-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: unlabelled growth figure, read as revenue — low confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 11.3x / 21.11x / 36.52x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 22 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 21.11x across 22 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)2 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
generic growth 35%
Sir, you have given a guidance of 35% growth FY28.
Call 08-Jun-2026 · bridge confidence low · transcript PDF