TATACONSUM
TATA CONSUMER PRODUCTS LIMITED
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
TATACONSUM
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹1,083 today
BEAR
₹998
-8%
16.3% a year · 55x exit
BASE
₹1,378
+27%
28.2% a year · 68.9x exit
BULL
₹1,713
+58%
38.4% a year · 79.4x exit
Where the market has priced it
25x70x today92x
management named no year; shown one year out
- the guided figure reached earnings through a low-confidence bridge
- this company's own median multiple sits 67% above its filed-industry peers; the scenario uses its own
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹15.59 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 28.2% a year, said on the call of 30-Jan-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: unlabelled growth figure, read as revenue — low confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 55x / 68.93x / 79.42x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 10 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 41.25x across 11 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
generic growth 30%
So, we remain bullish on Sampann, but again, I will go back to our guidance is for roughly 30% growth, and we will remain guided by that.
Call 30-Jan-2026 · bridge confidence low · transcript PDF