SUNTECK
Sunteck Realty Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
SUNTECK
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹302 today
BEAR
₹390
+29%
10.9% a year · 25.3x exit
BASE
₹654
+116%
18.9% a year · 39.5x exit
BULL
₹3,638
+1103%
25.7% a year · 207.9x exit
Where the market has priced it
12x22x today2847x
- FY27 one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged: guided +20.0%, filed +2.1% across 1 quarter(s)
- at 22x its FY26 earnings the stock trades below the bottom of its own ten-year range (25x)
- the range is unusually wide — read it as the span of management's own claim, not as a forecast
- this company's own median multiple sits 34% above its filed-industry peers; the scenario uses its own
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹13.92 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 18.9% a year, said on the call of 28-Jul-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: unlabelled growth figure, read as revenue — medium confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 25.28x / 39.53x / 207.9x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 10 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 29.49x across 21 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
generic growth 20%
Kamal Khetan: So looking at the project pipeline, Harsh, we are very confident that we'll maintain -- although this quarter, we have done 20% growth in presales, but we are confident overall in the full year, we will match our -- what we ha
Call 28-Jul-2026 · bridge confidence medium · transcript PDF
Pace against its own guidance
FY27
one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged
guided 20.0%
filed 2.1%
1 of 4 quarters