SUMEETINDS
Sumeet Industries Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
SUMEETINDS
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹22 today
BEAR
₹7
-70%
50.1% a year · 11.3x exit
BASE
₹11
-53%
86.6% a year · 14.5x exit
BULL
₹18
-19%
117.7% a year · 21.2x exit
Where the market has priced it
10x57x today — outside the range41x
management named no year; shown one year out
- this company has too little filed history for a multiple band of its own, so the exit multiple is the median of 18 Textiles peers
- at 57x its FY26 earnings the stock already trades above the top of its own ten-year range (21x)
- the range is unusually wide — read it as the span of management's own claim, not as a forecast
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹0.39 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 86.6% a year, said on the call of 18-Feb-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: revenue growth x margin change — high confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 11.29x / 14.48x / 21.19x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 18 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 14.48x across 18 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from a third-party research digest · not our own extraction
implied earnings growth 87%
Revenue growth 8% per quarter; EBITDA margin 6.22%; PAT margin 3.5% (maintained)
Call 18-Feb-2026 · bridge confidence high · transcript PDF