SSWL
Steel Strips Wheels Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
SSWL
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹310 today
BEAR
₹190
-39%
11.5% a year · 13.2x exit
BASE
₹232
-25%
19.8% a year · 15x exit
BULL
₹363
+17%
26.9% a year · 22.2x exit
Where the market has priced it
12x24x today25x
- FY27 one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged: guided +20.0%, filed +27.2% across 1 quarter(s)
- at 24x its FY26 earnings the stock already trades above the top of its own ten-year range (22x)
- this company's own median multiple sits 40% below its filed-industry peers; the scenario uses its own
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹12.86 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 19.8% a year, said on the call of 21-Jul-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: revenue growth, margin held flat — medium confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 13.24x / 15x / 22.21x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 10 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 25.12x across 38 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
revenue growth 20%generic growth 20%
Looking ahead, we remain optimistic about our outlook for FY27, targeting a top line growth of 20% plus.
Call 21-Jul-2026 · bridge confidence medium · transcript PDF
Pace against its own guidance
FY27
one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged
guided 20.0%
filed 27.2%
1 of 4 quarters