SPECIALITY
Speciality Restaurants Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
SPECIALITY
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹133 today
BEAR
₹89
-33%
27.1% a year · 15.5x exit
BASE
₹183
+37%
46.9% a year · 27.5x exit
BULL
₹367
+176%
63.8% a year · 49.5x exit
Where the market has priced it
10x30x today97x
- 5 of 10 filed years were loss-making or near zero — this band describes a recovery, not a settled rating
- this company's own median multiple sits 86% below its filed-industry peers; the scenario uses its own
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹4.52 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 46.9% a year, said on the call of 26-May-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: absolute ₹ revenue target — medium confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 15.51x / 27.53x / 49.55x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 5 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 196x across 3 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from a third-party research digest · not our own extraction
implied earnings growth 47%
Targeting 32 new outlets (8 restaurants, 15 Walters, 10 Sweet Bengals) in FY '27 with INR 37 crores capex. Revenue growth guidance raised to 15%+ YoY, aiming for INR 600 crores in FY '27 and INR 700 crores in FY '28. Post-renovation SSG expected to reach 'double-digit' growth.
Call 26-May-2026 · bridge confidence medium · transcript PDF