SPEB
Speb Adhesives Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
SPEB
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹82 today
BEAR
₹80
-3%
15.9% a year · 22.6x exit
BASE
₹139
+69%
27.5% a year · 35.7x exit
BULL
₹236
+186%
37.4% a year · 56.2x exit
Where the market has priced it
9x27x today120x
management named no year; shown one year out
- the guided figure reached earnings through a low-confidence bridge
- this company has too little filed history for a multiple band of its own, so the exit multiple is the median of 21 Industrial Specialties peers
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹3.06 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 27.5% a year, said on the call of 22-May-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: unlabelled growth figure, read as revenue — low confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 22.58x / 35.73x / 56.2x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 21 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 35.73x across 21 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
generic growth 25–30%
So, just wanted to know that we've given, I think, a guidance of 25 to 30% growth.
Call 22-May-2026 · bridge confidence low · transcript PDF