SONAMLTD
SONAM LIMITED
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
SONAMLTD
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹55 today
BEAR
₹39
-29%
17.3% a year · 18.3x exit
BASE
₹59
+8%
30% a year · 25x exit
BULL
₹75
+36%
40.7% a year · 29.1x exit
Where the market has priced it
10x30x today — outside the range29x
management named no year; shown one year out
- the guided figure reached earnings through a low-confidence bridge
- at 30x its FY26 earnings the stock already trades above the top of its own ten-year range (29x)
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹1.83 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 30% a year, said on the call of 22-Jul-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: unlabelled growth figure, read as revenue — low confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 18.27x / 25x / 29.14x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 8 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 26.8x across 7 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
generic growth 30%
I wanted to ask, Q1 FY’27 revenue grew by 75.6% on a year-on-year basis, you have given the guidance that full-year guidance will be 25% to 30% growth.
Call 22-Jul-2026 · bridge confidence low · transcript PDF