Shyam Metalics and Energy Limited

Metal Fabrication/ NSE

Compiled

Auto-generated from filings and public channels — no analyst dossier.

If management delivers what it guided

arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target

SHYAMMETL

FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹1,031 today

BEAR

₹326

-68%

12.8% a year · 7.5x exit

BASE

₹868

-16%

22.1% a year · 18.6x exit

BULL

₹1,224

+19%

30% a year · 24.6x exit

Where the market has priced it

5x27x today — outside the range26x

the guided figure reached earnings through a low-confidence bridge
FY27 one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged: guided +25.0%, filed +23.4% across 1 quarter(s)
at 27x its FY26 earnings the stock already trades above the top of its own ten-year range (25x)
the range is unusually wide — read it as the span of management's own claim, not as a forecast

How these numbers are produced

Earnings base	FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹38.34 (screener)
Guided growth	22.1% a year, said on the call of 24-Jul-2026 · transcript
Read across as	operating: volume growth, realisation+margin held flat — low confidence
Delivery calibration	0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings
Exit multiple	7.55x / 18.55x / 24.56x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 5 filed years
Filed-industry peers	median 24.21x across 15 peers — the cross-check, not the input
Arithmetic	base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)¹ × exit multiple

Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.

How to read this

It answers one question. If this management delivers the growth it told its own investors it would, and the market pays what it has historically paid for this company's earnings, where does the arithmetic land? Nothing here is a forecast of the share price.
Three cases, two moving parts. Bear, base and bull vary the delivery — what fraction of guidance managements actually file — and the exit multiple together, because a company that misses its guidance is usually de-rated for missing it. Each case shows the growth rate and the multiple that produced it.
Read the width, not just the middle. A wide gap between bear and bull means the inputs are uncertain, not that the upside is bigger. A narrow range is a more confident statement than a high one.
“Where the market has priced it” puts today's P/E on the company's own historical range. Sitting far below that range is why a scenario can look enormous: the number is then mostly about re-rating, not about delivery, and the board marks those separately.
The bullets underneath are the caveats — a borrowed peer multiple, a thin filed history, an earnings base that carried a one-off. They are the reasons to trust the number less, listed rather than buried.

Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do. The field guide covers the method.

What management said

from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted

volume growth 25%generic growth 25%

Sir, my first question pertains to our volume growth target of 25% in FY27.

Call 24-Jul-2026 · bridge confidence low · transcript PDF

Pace against its own guidance

FY27 one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged

guided 25.0% filed 23.4% 1 of 4 quarters

Coverage

SectorMetal Fabrication

Dossiersnone

Guidanceyes

Scenarioyes

Street chatter

unverified · logged from public channels

SHYAM METALICS: To launch aluminium flat rolled products and foil manufacturing facility in Odisha.

23 Apr 13:29

SHYAM METALICS: Approves ₹2,700 Cr capex plan for steel capacity expansion across Kharagpur & Sambalpur.

Capacity / capex11 May 13:29

SHYAM METALICS: Reports strong growth in pellets, alloys, stainless steel and aluminium foil segments.

06 Jul 13:29

#BANKING_SECTOR #MANAPPURAM #OBEROIRLTY #PAYTM #SBILIFE #SHYAMMETL #SONACOMS #SP500 #ULTRACEMCO

earningspulse.ai/brokerage-actions

Third-party brokerage view — reported as published. Not our recommendation. Not investment advice.

Mention only21 Jul 03:30