SHREDIGCEM
Shree Digvijay Cement Co.Ltd
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
SHREDIGCEM
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹72 today
BEAR
₹29
-60%
5.3% a year · 16.1x exit
BASE
₹34
-53%
9.2% a year · 18.3x exit
BULL
₹76
+4%
12.5% a year · 39.7x exit
Where the market has priced it
6x43x today — outside the range42x
- the FY26 base of Rs 1.69 is 39% above the Rs 1.22 trailing twelve months — that year carried something the last four quarters did not
- the guided figure reached earnings through a low-confidence bridge
- FY27 one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged: guided +10.0%, filed +72.1% across 1 quarter(s)
- the last 3 years priced this company 107% above its ten-year median (38x vs 18x) — the exit multiple here is the ten-year one, so a sustained re-rating would not be captured
- at 43x its FY26 earnings the stock already trades above the top of its own ten-year range (40x)
- this company's own median multiple sits 54% below its filed-industry peers; the scenario uses its own
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹1.69 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 9.2% a year, said on the call of 27-Mar-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: unlabelled growth figure, read as revenue — low confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 16.06x / 18.3x / 39.71x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 7 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 40.14x across 13 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
generic growth 10%
And as I mentioned in my, I think a previous answer, so that we are expecting to grow by at least in the double digit.
Call 27-Mar-2026 · bridge confidence low · transcript PDF
Pace against its own guidance
FY27
one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged
guided 10.0%
filed 72.1%
1 of 4 quarters