SHERA
Shera Energy Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
SHERA
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹165 today
BEAR
₹129
-22%
4% a year · 10.3x exit
BASE
₹243
+47%
7% a year · 18.9x exit
BULL
₹365
+121%
9.5% a year · 27.7x exit
Where the market has priced it
9x14x today32x
- the guided figure reached earnings through a low-confidence bridge
- multiple band rests on only 4 filed years
- FY27 one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged: guided +7.0%, filed +26.1% across 1 quarter(s)
- this company's own median multiple sits 33% below its filed-industry peers; the scenario uses its own
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹12 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 7% a year, said on the call of 23-Feb-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: unlabelled growth figure, read as revenue — low confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 10.34x / 18.88x / 27.67x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 4 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 28.1x across 21 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
generic growth 7%
And so backed by those and the natural growth in terms of 7% to 8% and Shera Energy's standalone growth of 5% to 7% in terms of quantity, I expect the growth to be in the range of 40% to 60% anywhere in between.
Call 23-Feb-2026 · bridge confidence low · transcript PDF
Pace against its own guidance
FY27
one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged
guided 7.0%
filed 26.1%
1 of 4 quarters