SHAREINDIA
Share India Securities Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
SHAREINDIA
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹178 today
BEAR
₹148
-17%
6.8% a year · 9.4x exit
BASE
₹181
+1%
11.8% a year · 10.9x exit
BULL
₹251
+41%
16% a year · 14.6x exit
Where the market has priced it
9x12x today20x
management named no year; shown one year out
- the guided figure reached earnings through a low-confidence bridge
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹14.78 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 11.8% a year, said on the call of 31-Jul-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: unlabelled growth figure, read as revenue — low confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 9.39x / 10.95x / 14.63x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 6 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 11.27x across 9 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
generic growth 20%
Subject to overall market condition, we remain confident of delivering around 20% growth during the current financial year.
Call 31-Jul-2026 · bridge confidence low · transcript PDF