← Scenarios

SHARDACROP

Sharda Cropchem Limited

Wholesale Distributors/ NSE

Compiled

Auto-generated from filings and public channels — no analyst dossier.

If management delivers what it guided

arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target

SHARDACROP

FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹820 today

BEAR

₹940

+15%

5.8% a year · 11.8x exit

BASE

₹1,321

+61%

10% a year · 15.9x exit

BULL

₹1,665

+103%

13.6% a year · 19.4x exit

Where the market has priced it

6x11x today96x

FY27 one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged: guided +10.0%, filed +9.0% across 1 quarter(s)
at 11x its FY26 earnings the stock trades below the bottom of its own ten-year range (12x)
this company's own median multiple sits 45% below its filed-industry peers; the scenario uses its own

How these numbers are produced

Earnings base	FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹75.47 (screener)
Guided growth	10% a year, said on the call of 19-May-2026 · transcript
Read across as	operating: revenue growth, margin held flat — medium confidence
Delivery calibration	0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings
Exit multiple	11.78x / 15.91x / 19.42x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 10 filed years
Filed-industry peers	median 29.18x across 5 peers — the cross-check, not the input
Arithmetic	base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)¹ × exit multiple

Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.

How to read this

It answers one question. If this management delivers the growth it told its own investors it would, and the market pays what it has historically paid for this company's earnings, where does the arithmetic land? Nothing here is a forecast of the share price.
Three cases, two moving parts. Bear, base and bull vary the delivery — what fraction of guidance managements actually file — and the exit multiple together, because a company that misses its guidance is usually de-rated for missing it. Each case shows the growth rate and the multiple that produced it.
Read the width, not just the middle. A wide gap between bear and bull means the inputs are uncertain, not that the upside is bigger. A narrow range is a more confident statement than a high one.
“Where the market has priced it” puts today's P/E on the company's own historical range. Sitting far below that range is why a scenario can look enormous: the number is then mostly about re-rating, not about delivery, and the board marks those separately.
The bullets underneath are the caveats — a borrowed peer multiple, a thin filed history, an earnings base that carried a one-off. They are the reasons to trust the number less, listed rather than buried.

Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do. The field guide covers the method.

What management said

from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted

revenue growth 10%generic growth 10%

But I can say for the FY27, we expect the revenue to grow about 10% to 15%, gross margins to stay around 35% plus or minus a few%, and EBITDA will be 18% to 20%.

Call 19-May-2026 · bridge confidence medium · transcript PDF

Pace against its own guidance

FY27 one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged

guided 10.0% filed 9.0% 1 of 4 quarters

Coverage

SectorWholesale Distributors

Dossiersnone

Guidanceyes

Scenarioyes

Street chatter

unverified · logged from public channels

Sharda Motor Industries (Q4, Cons YoY)

Revenue up 29.6% at Rs 972 crore versus Rs 750 crore.

EBITDA up 12.0% at Rs 112.9 crore versus Rs 100.8 crore.

EBITDA margin down 180 bps at 11.6% versus 13.4%.

Net profit up 6.5% at Rs 89 crore versus Rs 84 crore.

Note: The board declared a final dividend of Rs 20 per share.

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Mention only17 Mar 12:46

cals, VST Tillers Tractors, Shaily Engineering Plastics, Welspun Corp, Shakti Pumps India, Yatharth Hospital & Trauma Care Services, Sharda Cropchem, Yes Bank, Shoppers Stop, Zee Entertainment Enterprises, Shyam Metalics and Energy, Zen Technologies, Sonata Software, Zensar Technologies, Stovekraft, ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems

Mention only01 Jun 12:03

Anand Rathi sees 64% UPSIDE in Sharda Cropchem- Off to a strong start; upbeat on continued momentum; maintain BUY

Commentary31 Jul 12:12