OMNI
Omnitech Engineering Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
OMNI
FY26 → FY28 · 2 years of guidance · ~1.7 years from today₹581 today
BEAR
₹123
-79%-61% a yr
2.9% a year · 18x exit
BASE
₹171
-70%-52% a yr
5% a year · 24.2x exit
BULL
₹208
-64%-46% a yr
6.8% a year · 28.3x exit
Where the market has priced it
12x90x today — outside the range57x
- the guided figure reached earnings through a low-confidence bridge
- this company has too little filed history for a multiple band of its own, so the exit multiple is the median of 16 Metal Fabrication peers
- at 90x its FY26 earnings the stock already trades above the top of its own ten-year range (28x)
- the range is unusually wide — read it as the span of management's own claim, not as a forecast
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹6.42 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 5% a year, said on the call of 29-May-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: unlabelled growth figure, read as revenue — low confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 18x / 24.18x / 28.34x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 16 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 24.18x across 16 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)2 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
generic growth 5%
Udaykumar Parekh: See, we are anticipating and we are working on the execution plan, roughly around (+30%) and how can we try to grow (+/-5%) is like that.
Call 29-May-2026 · bridge confidence low · transcript PDF