NUVAMA
Nuvama Wealth Management Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
NUVAMA
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹1,804 today
BEAR
₹937
-48%
13% a year · 14.5x exit
BASE
₹1,770
-2%
22.5% a year · 25.3x exit
BULL
₹2,886
+60%
30.6% a year · 38.6x exit
Where the market has priced it
11x32x today56x
- this company has too little filed history for a multiple band of its own, so the exit multiple is the median of 8 Investment Managers peers
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹57.19 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 22.5% a year, said on the call of 18-May-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: revenue growth, margin held flat — medium confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 14.5x / 25.27x / 38.65x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 8 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 25.27x across 8 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from a third-party research digest · not our own extraction
implied earnings growth 22%
Revenue growth 20-25% for FY27; opex growth 10-12%; net flows INR25,000-26,000 crores for FY26 (maintained)
Call 18-May-2026 · bridge confidence medium · transcript PDF