NIITMTS
NIIT Learning Systems Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
NIITMTS
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹240 today
BEAR
₹462
+93%
30.7% a year · 19.6x exit
BASE
₹729
+204%
31.1% a year · 30.9x exit
BULL
₹1,344
+460%
33.7% a year · 55.8x exit
Where the market has priced it
15x13x today — outside the range136x
- this company has too little filed history for a multiple band of its own, so the exit multiple is the median of 20 Miscellaneous Commercial Services peers
- FY27 one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged: guided +8.0%, filed +25.3% across 1 quarter(s)
- at 13x its FY26 earnings the stock trades below the bottom of its own ten-year range (20x)
- the range is unusually wide — read it as the span of management's own claim, not as a forecast
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹18 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 34.5% a year, said on the call of 30-Jul-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: revenue growth x margin change — high confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.89x / 0.9x / 1x of what was guided — this company's own record |
| Exit multiple | 19.64x / 30.88x / 55.82x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 20 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 30.88x across 20 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
margin 18%revenue growth 8%generic growth 8%ebitda margin 18%
For the full year, we continue to expect an EBITDA margin of 18% to 20%, reflecting continued delivery discipline and phased margin build in SweetRush.
Call 30-Jul-2026 · bridge confidence high · transcript PDF
Pace against its own guidance
FY27
one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged
guided 8.0%
filed 25.3%
1 of 4 quarters