MOLDTECH
Mold-Tek Technologies Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
MOLDTECH
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹153 today
BEAR
₹59
-62%
21.7% a year · 13.7x exit
BASE
₹113
-26%
37.6% a year · 23.4x exit
BULL
₹180
+18%
51.1% a year · 34x exit
Where the market has priced it
9x44x today — outside the range38x
- the last 3 years priced this company 38% above its ten-year median (32x vs 23x) — the exit multiple here is the ten-year one, so a sustained re-rating would not be captured
- at 44x its FY26 earnings the stock already trades above the top of its own ten-year range (34x)
- this company's own median multiple sits 47% above its filed-industry peers; the scenario uses its own
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹3.5 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 37.6% a year, said on the call of 18-May-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: absolute ₹ revenue target — medium confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 13.74x / 23.43x / 34x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 10 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 15.95x across 36 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from a third-party research digest · not our own extraction
implied earnings growth 38%
Target INR250 crores top line in FY27 (up from INR240 crores), EBITDA margin improvement from 11% to 15%
Call 18-May-2026 · bridge confidence medium · transcript PDF