MARKSANS
Marksans Pharma Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
MARKSANS
FY26 → FY28 · 2 years of guidance · ~1.7 years from today₹258 today
BEAR
₹167
-35%-23% a yr
25% a year · 11.6x exit
BASE
₹335
+30%+17% a yr
43.3% a year · 17.7x exit
BULL
₹598
+131%+66% a yr
58.8% a year · 25.7x exit
Where the market has priced it
5x28x today214x
- the last 3 years priced this company 29% above its ten-year median (23x vs 18x) — the exit multiple here is the ten-year one, so a sustained re-rating would not be captured
- at 28x its FY26 earnings the stock already trades above the top of its own ten-year range (26x)
- this company's own median multiple sits 42% below its filed-industry peers; the scenario uses its own
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹9.22 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 43.3% a year, said on the call of 03-Jun-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: guided margin x own realised revenue CAGR — medium confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 11.62x / 17.7x / 25.7x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 10 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 30.27x across 38 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)2 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from a third-party research digest · not our own extraction
implied earnings growth 43%
Reaffirmed INR4,000 crores revenue by FY28 (now explicitly within 2 years), 15-20% growth in FY27, and EBITDA margins of 20-21%. Added new market entries in Europe/Canada and 50-odd U.S. product launches in FY27.
Call 03-Jun-2026 · bridge confidence medium · transcript PDF