MAMATA
Mamata Machinery Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
MAMATA
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹406 today
BEAR
₹130
-68%
20.2% a year · 17.7x exit
BASE
₹233
-43%
35% a year · 28.2x exit
BULL
₹551
+36%
47.6% a year · 61x exit
Where the market has priced it
7x66x today95x
- the guided figure reached earnings through a low-confidence bridge
- this company has too little filed history for a multiple band of its own, so the exit multiple is the median of 31 Industrial Machinery peers
- at 66x its FY26 earnings the stock already trades above the top of its own ten-year range (61x)
- the range is unusually wide — read it as the span of management's own claim, not as a forecast
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹6.12 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 35% a year, said on the call of 05-Jun-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: unlabelled growth figure, read as revenue — low confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 17.71x / 28.23x / 61x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 31 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 28.23x across 31 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
generic growth 30–40%
disruption, our stated packaging growth momentum of 30-40% remains intact, which is what we are even targeting in FY27.
Call 05-Jun-2026 · bridge confidence low · transcript PDF