MAHABANK
Bank of Maharashtra
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
MAHABANK
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹79 today
BEAR
₹65
-18%
10.4% a year · 6.4x exit
BASE
₹88
+12%
18% a year · 8.2x exit
BULL
₹137
+73%
24.5% a year · 12.1x exit
Where the market has priced it
6x9x today25x
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹9.12 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 18% a year, said on the call of 16-Jul-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | lender: ROA x book growth — high confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 6.42x / 8.22x / 12.1x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 7 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 9.6x across 13 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from a third-party research digest · not our own extraction
roa 1.9%credit cost 1%generic growth 18%
ROA at 1.9% is, again, an improvement of 10 bps year-on-year.
Call 16-Jul-2026 · bridge confidence high · transcript PDF