KANPRPLA
Kanpur Plastipack Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
KANPRPLA
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹207 today
BEAR
₹173
-16%
7.2% a year · 10.7x exit
BASE
₹327
+58%
12.5% a year · 19.3x exit
BULL
₹3,394
+1538%
17% a year · 192.5x exit
Where the market has priced it
7x14x today550x
- the guided figure reached earnings through a low-confidence bridge
- the range is unusually wide — read it as the span of management's own claim, not as a forecast
- this company's own median multiple sits 48% below its filed-industry peers; the scenario uses its own
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹15.07 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 12.5% a year, said on the call of 08-May-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: unlabelled growth figure, read as revenue — low confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 10.7x / 19.27x / 192.5x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 6 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 36.75x across 9 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from a third-party research digest · not our own extraction
implied earnings growth 12%
Maintained 10-15% growth guidance for FY27, non-woven segment to contribute INR100-120 crores with 15-16% EBITDA margins by FY27, and FIBC expansion to add INr40 crores incrementally.
Call 08-May-2026 · bridge confidence low · transcript PDF