Kamdhenu Limited

Steel/ NSE

Compiled

Auto-generated from filings and public channels — no analyst dossier.

If management delivers what it guided

arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target

KAMDHENU

FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹34 today

BEAR

₹30

-12%

5.8% a year · 10.3x exit

BASE

₹63

+84%

10% a year · 20.6x exit

BULL

₹86

+150%

13.6% a year · 27.1x exit

Where the market has priced it

7x12x today36x

the guided figure reached earnings through a low-confidence bridge
FY27 one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged: guided +10.0%, filed +8.7% across 1 quarter(s)
the last 3 years priced this company 33% below its ten-year median (14x vs 21x) — the exit multiple here is the ten-year one, so a sustained re-rating would not be captured

How these numbers are produced

Earnings base	FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹2.78 (screener)
Guided growth	10% a year, said on the call of 04-Jun-2026 · transcript
Read across as	operating: volume growth, realisation+margin held flat — low confidence
Delivery calibration	0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings
Exit multiple	10.26x / 20.58x / 27.11x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 9 filed years
Filed-industry peers	median 18.59x across 25 peers — the cross-check, not the input
Arithmetic	base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)¹ × exit multiple

Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.

How to read this

It answers one question. If this management delivers the growth it told its own investors it would, and the market pays what it has historically paid for this company's earnings, where does the arithmetic land? Nothing here is a forecast of the share price.
Three cases, two moving parts. Bear, base and bull vary the delivery — what fraction of guidance managements actually file — and the exit multiple together, because a company that misses its guidance is usually de-rated for missing it. Each case shows the growth rate and the multiple that produced it.
Read the width, not just the middle. A wide gap between bear and bull means the inputs are uncertain, not that the upside is bigger. A narrow range is a more confident statement than a high one.
“Where the market has priced it” puts today's P/E on the company's own historical range. Sitting far below that range is why a scenario can look enormous: the number is then mostly about re-rating, not about delivery, and the board marks those separately.
The bullets underneath are the caveats — a borrowed peer multiple, a thin filed history, an earnings base that carried a one-off. They are the reasons to trust the number less, listed rather than buried.

Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do. The field guide covers the method.

What management said

from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted

volume growth 10%generic growth 10%

Going forward, we are also planning to increase 10% to 15% every year along with a volume growth of around 10%, which we are achieving from last 2, 3 years.

Call 04-Jun-2026 · bridge confidence low · transcript PDF

Pace against its own guidance

FY27 one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged

guided 10.0% filed 8.7% 1 of 4 quarters