INFY
Infosys Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
INFY
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹1,130 today
BEAR
₹1,307
+16%
5.9% a year · 17x exit
BASE
₹1,893
+68%
10.2% a year · 23.7x exit
BULL
₹2,208
+95%
13.8% a year · 26.7x exit
Where the market has priced it
15x16x today36x
management named no year; shown one year out
- at 16x its FY26 earnings the stock trades below the bottom of its own ten-year range (17x)
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹72.59 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 10.2% a year, said on the call of 28-Jul-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: revenue growth x margin change — high confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 17x / 23.67x / 26.72x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 10 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 20.12x across 22 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
revenue growth 1.5%generic growth 1.5%ebitda margin 22%
With our Q1 results and a view for the rest of the financial year, we are changing our revenue growth guidance to 1.5% to 3% Y-on-Y growth in constant currency terms.
Call 28-Jul-2026 · bridge confidence high · transcript PDF