HPL Electric & Power Limited

Electronic Equipment/Instruments/ NSE

Compiled

Auto-generated from filings and public channels — no analyst dossier.

If management delivers what it guided

arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target

HPL

FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹332 today

BEAR

₹299

-10%

15% a year · 18.4x exit

BASE

₹507

+52%

26% a year · 28.4x exit

BULL

₹833

+150%

35.3% a year · 43.5x exit

Where the market has priced it

6x24x today55x

the guided figure reached earnings through a low-confidence bridge

How these numbers are produced

Earnings base	FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹14.15 (screener)
Guided growth	26% a year, said on the call of 23-Jun-2026 · transcript
Read across as	operating: unlabelled growth figure, read as revenue — low confidence
Delivery calibration	0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings
Exit multiple	18.37x / 28.43x / 43.49x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 10 filed years
Filed-industry peers	median 22.31x across 5 peers — the cross-check, not the input
Arithmetic	base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)¹ × exit multiple

Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.

How to read this

It answers one question. If this management delivers the growth it told its own investors it would, and the market pays what it has historically paid for this company's earnings, where does the arithmetic land? Nothing here is a forecast of the share price.
Three cases, two moving parts. Bear, base and bull vary the delivery — what fraction of guidance managements actually file — and the exit multiple together, because a company that misses its guidance is usually de-rated for missing it. Each case shows the growth rate and the multiple that produced it.
Read the width, not just the middle. A wide gap between bear and bull means the inputs are uncertain, not that the upside is bigger. A narrow range is a more confident statement than a high one.
“Where the market has priced it” puts today's P/E on the company's own historical range. Sitting far below that range is why a scenario can look enormous: the number is then mostly about re-rating, not about delivery, and the board marks those separately.
The bullets underneath are the caveats — a borrowed peer multiple, a thin filed history, an earnings base that carried a one-off. They are the reasons to trust the number less, listed rather than buried.

Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do. The field guide covers the method.

What management said

from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted

generic growth 26%

Gautam Seth [00:12:15.380 - 00:15:30.609] Yeah, so on the C&I part, we have seen a growth of 26% last year, and I think the similar trend would continue going forward in the current year.

Call 23-Jun-2026 · bridge confidence low · transcript PDF

Coverage

SectorElectronic Equipment/Instruments

Dossiersnone

Guidanceyes

Scenarioyes

Street chatter

unverified · logged from public channels

HPL ELECTRIC: FY26 revenue crosses ₹1,800 Cr with strong smart metering recovery and wires & cables growth.

27 May 13:29

HPL ELECTRIC Q4 : RECORD SCALE & SMART METERING RECOVERY ⚡📊

🚀 Q4 FY26 revenue crossed ₹500 crore milestone for the first time

📈 FY26 revenue crossed ₹1,800 crore, marking record annual scale

💰 EBITDA grew ahead of revenue with expansion in gross & EBITDA margins YoY

🔌 Consumer & Industrial revenue grew 25.62% YoY to ₹784.67 cr

Results27 May 12:14

HPL ELECTRIC & POWER: CRISIL upgrades rating to A+ / Stable, reaffirming strong growth outlook.

Rating / broker16 Apr 13:29