GLOBUSSPR
Globus Spirits Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
GLOBUSSPR
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹884 today
BEAR
₹510
-42%
4% a year · 15.5x exit
BASE
₹777
-12%
7% a year · 23x exit
BULL
₹2,172
+146%
9.5% a year · 62.8x exit
Where the market has priced it
5x28x today133x
- FY26 earnings of Rs 31.58 sit 4x the prior year (Rs 8.05) and 4x the median of the years before it — a discontinuity, not a run-rate this projection can assume continues
- the guided figure reached earnings through a low-confidence bridge
- FY27 one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged: guided +7.0%, filed +12.7% across 1 quarter(s)
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹31.58 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 7% a year, said on the call of 25-Jul-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: unlabelled growth figure, read as revenue — low confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 15.51x / 23x / 62.81x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 9 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 25.32x across 5 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
generic growth 7%
We are expecting ethanol demand at this scale to grow at about 7%, 7.5%, which is in line with petrol growth.
Call 25-Jul-2026 · bridge confidence low · transcript PDF
Pace against its own guidance
FY27
one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged
guided 7.0%
filed 12.7%
1 of 4 quarters