Gandhar Oil Refinery (India) Limited

Industrial Specialties/ NSE

Compiled

Auto-generated from filings and public channels — no analyst dossier.

If management delivers what it guided

arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target

GANDHAR

FY26 → FY29 · 3 years of guidance · ~2.7 years from today₹223 today

BEAR

₹358

+60%+19% a yr

4.6% a year · 22.6x exit

BASE

₹622

+179%+47% a yr

8% a year · 35.7x exit

BULL

₹1,059

+374%+80% a yr

10.9% a year · 56.2x exit

Where the market has priced it

9x16x today120x

the guided figure reached earnings through a low-confidence bridge
this company has too little filed history for a multiple band of its own, so the exit multiple is the median of 21 Industrial Specialties peers
FY27 one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged: guided +8.0%, filed +91.8% across 1 quarter(s)
at 16x its FY26 earnings the stock trades below the bottom of its own ten-year range (23x)
the range is unusually wide — read it as the span of management's own claim, not as a forecast

How these numbers are produced

Earnings base	FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹13.83 (screener)
Guided growth	8% a year, said on the call of 28-Jul-2026 · transcript
Read across as	operating: unlabelled growth figure, read as revenue — low confidence
Delivery calibration	0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings
Exit multiple	22.58x / 35.73x / 56.2x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 21 filed years
Filed-industry peers	median 35.73x across 21 peers — the cross-check, not the input
Arithmetic	base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)³ × exit multiple

Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.

How to read this

It answers one question. If this management delivers the growth it told its own investors it would, and the market pays what it has historically paid for this company's earnings, where does the arithmetic land? Nothing here is a forecast of the share price.
Three cases, two moving parts. Bear, base and bull vary the delivery — what fraction of guidance managements actually file — and the exit multiple together, because a company that misses its guidance is usually de-rated for missing it. Each case shows the growth rate and the multiple that produced it.
Read the width, not just the middle. A wide gap between bear and bull means the inputs are uncertain, not that the upside is bigger. A narrow range is a more confident statement than a high one.
“Where the market has priced it” puts today's P/E on the company's own historical range. Sitting far below that range is why a scenario can look enormous: the number is then mostly about re-rating, not about delivery, and the board marks those separately.
The bullets underneath are the caveats — a borrowed peer multiple, a thin filed history, an earnings base that carried a one-off. They are the reasons to trust the number less, listed rather than buried.

Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do. The field guide covers the method.

What management said

from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted

generic growth 8%ebitda margin 16%

So, the growth that we see in this industry of about 6% to 7% CAGR is more than enough for us to grow at about 8% to 10% in volume terms.

Call 28-Jul-2026 · bridge confidence low · transcript PDF

Pace against its own guidance

FY27 one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged

guided 8.0% filed 91.8% 1 of 4 quarters

Coverage

SectorIndustrial Specialties

Dossiersnone

Guidanceyes

Scenarioyes

Street chatter

unverified · logged from public channels

Operational disruptions, as seen with Gandhar Oil due to flooding, can lead to immediate and substantial negative impacts on stock prices.

Financial results, whether strong or weak, remain a primary driver for intraday stock movements across various sectors.

27 Jul 08:30

📉 Operational Disruptions

Flooding impacting operations for Gandhar Oil Refinery led to a significant decline.

Commentary27 Jul 04:30

GANDHAR OIL: Plans capacity expansion in India; sees strong fundamentals.

Capacity / capex14 Jul 13:29

#63MOONS #AGIIL #ALPINETEX #AQYLON #ATALREAL #BESTAGRO #BLUESTONE #COMSYN #GANDHAR #GSMFOILS #KAYNES #NARMADA #NELCO #PINELABS #QUESS #RAPPID #SANGINITA #SHADOWFAX #SMLMAH

Mention only31 Jul 14:01