FIEMIND
Fiem Industries Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
FIEMIND
FY26 → FY28 · 2 years of guidance · ~1.7 years from today₹2,323 today
BEAR
₹1,632
-30%-19% a yr
11.6% a year · 13.5x exit
BASE
₹2,534
+9%+5% a yr
20% a year · 18.1x exit
BULL
₹3,163
+36%+20% a yr
27.2% a year · 20.1x exit
Where the market has priced it
4x24x today38x
- the guided figure reached earnings through a low-confidence bridge
- at 24x its FY26 earnings the stock already trades above the top of its own ten-year range (20x)
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹97.11 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 20% a year, said on the call of 06-Jun-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: unlabelled growth figure, read as revenue — low confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 13.5x / 18.12x / 20.14x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 10 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 25.12x across 38 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)2 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
generic growth 20%
We believe that the year and the subsequent year look okay, and we'll continue to maintain 15% to 20% growth.
Call 06-Jun-2026 · bridge confidence low · transcript PDF