EMAMILTD
Emami Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
EMAMILTD
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹398 today
BEAR
₹441
+11%
6% a year · 23.4x exit
BASE
₹514
+29%
10.4% a year · 26.2x exit
BULL
₹931
+134%
14.2% a year · 45.9x exit
Where the market has priced it
22x22x today79x
- the guided figure reached earnings through a low-confidence bridge
- at 22x its FY26 earnings the stock trades below the bottom of its own ten-year range (23x)
- this company's own median multiple sits 42% below its filed-industry peers; the scenario uses its own
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹17.76 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 10.4% a year, said on the call of 25-May-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: unlabelled growth figure, read as revenue — low confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 23.42x / 26.19x / 45.93x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 10 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 45.28x across 8 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
generic growth 10%
And from second quarter, we should be able to deliver good double-digit growth.
Call 25-May-2026 · bridge confidence low · transcript PDF