DOLLAR
Dollar Industries Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
DOLLAR
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹264 today
BEAR
₹265
+0%
5.8% a year · 13.4x exit
BASE
₹472
+79%
10% a year · 23x exit
BULL
₹698
+164%
13.6% a year · 33x exit
Where the market has priced it
10x14x today34x
- the guided figure reached earnings through a low-confidence bridge
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹18.64 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 10% a year, said on the call of 29-May-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: volume growth, realisation+margin held flat — low confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 13.45x / 23x / 33x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 9 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 30.57x across 16 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from a third-party research digest · not our own extraction
implied earnings growth 10%
Expressed optimism for FY27 with double-digit volume growth and improved EBITDA margins (expecting better than FY26's 10.8%)
Call 29-May-2026 · bridge confidence low · transcript PDF