CANTABIL
Cantabil Retail India Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
CANTABIL
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹246 today
BEAR
₹260
+6%
12.4% a year · 20.2x exit
BASE
₹406
+65%
21.4% a year · 29.2x exit
BULL
₹568
+131%
29.1% a year · 38.4x exit
Where the market has priced it
10x21x today64x
- the guided figure reached earnings through a low-confidence bridge
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹11.45 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 21.4% a year, said on the call of 23-May-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: unlabelled growth figure, read as revenue — low confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 20.17x / 29.18x / 38.44x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 10 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 29.32x across 16 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
generic growth 22%margin 60%
Over the last 5 years, we have consistently delivered strong results with CAGR 22% and a PAT CAGR of 26%, reaffirming the effectiveness of our long-term growth strategy and focus on sustainable value creation.
Call 23-May-2026 · bridge confidence low · transcript PDF