BRIGHOTEL
Brigade Hotel Ventures Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
BRIGHOTEL
FY26 → FY31 · 5 years of guidance · ~4.7 years from today₹59 today
BEAR
₹49
-18%-4% a yr
5.8% a year · 23.8x exit
BASE
₹95
+60%+10% a yr
10% a year · 38.2x exit
BULL
₹155
+161%+23% a yr
13.6% a year · 53.3x exit
Where the market has priced it
11x39x today54x
- the guided figure reached earnings through a low-confidence bridge
- this company has too little filed history for a multiple band of its own, so the exit multiple is the median of 6 Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines peers
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹1.54 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 10% a year, said on the call of 05-May-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: unlabelled growth figure, read as revenue — low confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 23.82x / 38.23x / 53.27x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 6 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 38.23x across 6 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)5 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
generic growth 10%
We believe that you should be able to get something in the mid-teens, a double-digit growth.
Call 05-May-2026 · bridge confidence low · transcript PDF