AWHCL
Antony Waste Handling Cell Limited
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
AWHCL
FY26 → FY28 · 2 years of guidance · ~1.7 years from today₹427 today
BEAR
₹367
-14%-9% a yr
11.5% a year · 11.1x exit
BASE
₹597
+40%+22% a yr
19.9% a year · 15.6x exit
BULL
₹732
+72%+38% a yr
27.1% a year · 17.1x exit
Where the market has priced it
10x16x today18x
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹26.58 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 19.9% a year, said on the call of 04-Jun-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: revenue growth, margin held flat — medium confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 11.11x / 15.62x / 17.06x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 6 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 16.19x across 3 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)2 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
What management said
from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
revenue growth 20%margin 20%
We remain confident of delivering 15% to 20% revenue CAGR over the next 5 years, backed by a record Rs.18,000 crores order book, 2 large-scale WTE projects in Andhra Pradesh and expanding EPR platform and India secured tailwind in urban-bas
Call 04-Jun-2026 · bridge confidence medium · transcript PDF