Latest view
—
as of 28 Apr 2026 · not a recommendation
Evidence timeline
What management said
from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
guidance maintainedgeneric growth 15.0%ebitda margin 5.0%margin 5.0%
So, | think we should be looking at between 12% to 15% growth in terms of volume for the whole year now.
Call 30-Jul-2026 · transcript PDF
Pace against its own guidance
FY27
one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged
guided 15.0%
filed 45.1%
1 of 4 quarters
Outlook, as stated
During today's call, the management will discuss the company's operational and financial performance for the first quarter of FY27, followed by an update on key business developments, strategic priorities and the outlook ahead.
| think maintaining 5.5% for the whole year might be a little difficult, but we will be able Page 30f14 ; 28th July, 2026 | 4:00 PM IST BHAGYANAGAR INDIA LIMITED to maintain between 5% and 5.5%, as was earlier indicated.
Darshil Jhaveri: Because that's a very big range, sir, because, you know, we could narrow it down don't expect us to reach a bit on our average 10% overnight, but we know, 6 to 12 would...
2.84
concrete references per 100 words spoken — counts, currency, units and
named periods, not adjectives
If management delivers what it guided
arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
BHAGYANGR
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹380 today
BEAR
₹177
-53%
26.6% a year · 8.9x exit
BASE
₹322
-15%
46% a year · 14.1x exit
BULL
₹626
+64%
62.5% a year · 24.6x exit
Where the market has priced it
7x24x today43x
- FY26 earnings of Rs 15.68 sit 4x the prior year (Rs 4.38) and 8x the median of the years before it — a discontinuity, not a run-rate this projection can assume continues
- FY27 one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged: guided +15.0%, filed +45.1% across 1 quarter(s)
- the last 3 years priced this company 32% below its ten-year median (10x vs 14x) — the exit multiple here is the ten-year one, so a sustained re-rating would not be captured
- this company's own median multiple sits 50% below its filed-industry peers; the scenario uses its own
How these numbers are produced
| Earnings base | FY26 fiscal year EPS ₹15.68 (screener) |
|---|---|
| Guided growth | 46% a year, said on the call of 30-Jul-2026 · transcript |
| Read across as | operating: guided margin x own realised revenue CAGR — medium confidence |
| Delivery calibration | 0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings |
| Exit multiple | 8.93x / 14.06x / 24.55x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 9 filed years |
| Filed-industry peers | median 28.1x across 21 peers — the cross-check, not the input |
| Arithmetic | base EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple |
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.
Price chart
260 sessions to 4 Aug 2026 ·
daily close ·
our own broker data