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AEROFLEX

Aeroflex Industries (AEROFLEX)

Industrial Products/ 2 documents · covered since Mar 2026
Latest view
Constructive
as of 4 Mar 2026 · not a recommendation

Evidence timeline

What management said

from NSE earnings-call filings · extracted, not interpreted
guidance downgradedmargin 25.0%generic growth 15.0%
2 years ago, your aim was to get 25% margin in the flexible hose.
Call 30-Jul-2026 · transcript PDF

Pace against its own guidance

FY27 one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged
guided 15.0% filed 72.6% 1 of 4 quarters

Outlook, as stated

In terms of the hose and assemblies business, the hose assemblies business, at the peak utilization of capacity of 20 million, we would reach and considering if 70% of the sales comes from the assemblies, we're expecting a turnover of between INR650 crores to INR675 crores.

Our skid assemblies segment, which is our newest segment has begun contributing to the top line and is right now accounting for only 5% in FY26, but we expect that this share to scale significantly in the upcoming years.

Asad Daud: So in terms of the miniature metal bellows, once the entire capex is completed and the peak utilization, we are expecting an annual revenue in the range of INR25 crores to INR30 crores.

3.9 concrete references per 100 words spoken — counts, currency, units and named periods, not adjectives

Chart exhibits

as drawn · not updated since

If management delivers what it guided

arithmetic on filed guidance and past valuations · not a price target
AEROFLEX
FY26 → FY27 · 1 year of guidance · ~0.7 years from today₹435 today
BEAR
₹81
-81%
8.6% a year · 17.7x exit
BASE
₹136
-69%
14.9% a year · 28.2x exit
BULL
₹308
-29%
20.3% a year · 61x exit
FY27TODAY₹435 today₹30880.8₹136
Where the market has priced it
7x104x today — outside the range95x
  • the guided figure reached earnings through a low-confidence bridge
  • this company has too little filed history for a multiple band of its own, so the exit multiple is the median of 31 Industrial Machinery peers
  • FY27 one quarter filed — the pace is shown, not judged: guided +15.0%, filed +72.6% across 1 quarter(s)
  • at 104x its FY26 earnings the stock already trades above the top of its own ten-year range (61x)
  • the range is unusually wide — read it as the span of management's own claim, not as a forecast
How these numbers are produced
Earnings baseFY26 fiscal year EPS ₹4.2 (screener)
Guided growth14.9% a year, said on the call of 30-Jul-2026 · transcript
Read across asoperating: unlabelled growth figure, read as revenue — low confidence
Delivery calibration0.58x / 1x / 1.36x of what was guided — measured: 76 annual guided-vs-filed pairs + 77 near-complete quarterly years — NSE transcripts against the companies' own filings
Exit multiple17.71x / 28.23x / 61x, this company’s own p20 / median / p80 across 31 filed years
Filed-industry peersmedian 28.23x across 31 peers — the cross-check, not the input
Arithmeticbase EPS × (1 + guided growth × delivery)1 × exit multiple
Arithmetic on management’s own guidance and this company’s own past valuations. Not a price target, not a recommendation, and not a forecast of what the stock will do.

Price chart

260 sessions to 31 Jul 2026 · daily close · our own broker data
200 400 Jul Sep Nov 2026 Mar May Jul vol 435.45
14 Jul 2025 → 31 Jul 2026 low ₹158.8 · high ₹510.9 · last ₹435.45 · 110.1% over the window close 50-DMA 200-DMA